Predicting Russia’s next Move better than Pepe

So… one of the few commentators that has been worth listening to on the whole Russian – American war, is Pepe Escobar.

Did I say Russian vs. America?

Oh, sorry, I meant Russia vs. Israel, but really more the Jewish Diaspora in the USA than Israel itself. Which was noted when Israel very, very quickly reassured Putin that Israel would absolutely NOT be providing weapons to Ukraine. After Russia told them it would be a bad idea to do so.

That said, the recent withdrawal from Kershon has Pepe all full of pepito and saying “this is WAR!” And you can feel his spic blood boiling in frustration as he types on his telegram chat.

I mean, I get it. We Dagos can be just as excitable as the Spics, or sudacas, I am not really sure which HispanoPurtugeSouthAmer(ind) place Pepe is from. He’s a good guy anyway, but his latest assessment of the withdrawal from Kershon is flawed. He labelled it as the worst strategic defeat since 1991 for Russia.

But even more astonishing, he did so even AFTER posting this piece from someone else:

I fully agree with Mr. Prigozhin’s opinion on Surovikin’s decision. Yevgeny Viktorovich very accurately noted that Surovikin saved a thousand soldiers who were in actual encirclement.

After weighing all the pros and cons, General Surovikin made a difficult but right choice between senseless sacrifices for the sake of loud statements and saving the priceless lives of soldiers.

Kherson is a very difficult area without the possibility of a stable regular supply of ammunition and the formation of a strong, reliable rear. Why was this not done from the first days of the special operation? This is another question. But in this difficult situation, the general acted wisely and far-sightedly – he evacuated the civilian population and ordered a regrouping.

So there is no need to talk about the “surrender” of Kherson. “Surrender” together with the fighters. And Surovikin protects the soldier and takes a more advantageous strategic position – convenient, safe.

Everyone knew from the very first days of the special operation that Kherson was a difficult combat territory. The soldiers of my units also reported that it was very difficult to fight in this area. Yes, it can be kept, it is possible to organize at least some supply of ammunition, but the cost will be numerous human lives. And this forecast does not suit us.

Therefore, I believe that Surovikin acted like a real military general, not afraid of criticism.

He is responsible for the people. He sees better.

Thank you, Sergey Vladimirovich, for taking care of the guys! And we will not stop hitting the enemy and we will not get tired.

https://t.me/RKadyrov_95/3080

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Now… it doesn’t take a genius to understand that a general that doesn’t care about what is shown on TV, and instead worries about wasting his men on useless propaganda and sees they don’t get killed that way, is a good general.

But being a good general, for most people today, brainwashed by TV and mass media, is equated to looking good like a Hollywood war film. With sound track and special effects.

Because we have reached a point where the average couch potato doesn’t understand that the newspapers and the news, and all the journalists in the world, do not mean a damned thing when you trade in bombs and bullets instead of press releases and green screens.

What, exactly, do you think the Russians actually lose by letting go of Kershon and making sure 1,000 or so of their men are alive instead of trapped like rats?

“Oh but it looks bad!”

Really?

Does it look better to have them lose a 1,000 men and then STILL not hold Kershon?

What’s that, you say? Oh I see, lose a thousand men or more but keep hold of Kershon. Yes, I see, just tell me… why, exactly?

When you can take it back in winter. In a way that the PR machine can’t do anything about it.

Or in spring.

Or in summer.

Or in a negotiation for a final end to the war without further bloodshed.

“But… but…” says Pepe and his friends and readers, “Russia is asking for negotiations now?!? This is bad! Very bad! Russia is weak and asking for negotiations, it sends a message of weakness.”

Ummm… Pepe, did you forget this is WAR?

I mean you said it yourself… it’s WAR.

Let me tell you what an old Sicilian Mafioso told my dad one day on a construction site in the Northern Alps.

“If you want to make sure you kill a man with a lupara, (sawn off double barrel shotgun) you shoot him from two meters away.

If you use a handgun, you want to be shaking his hand when you shoot him.”

What does Russia lose by asking for negotiations?

Option 1: If they get what they want, great, and the war ends (at least superficially and for the global news cycle, before the Diasporas in Washington start something else up again).

Option 2: the Nato-Diaspora-Bankers say no, and Russia keeps everything as it is now AND gets the PR credit for trying to come to the table, but the vicious diasporas rejected it, see? So… eh, what can we do? We need to carry on nuking you.

Option 3: the glue-sniffing retards in the USA, AND the cock-aine addled, gay, midget, clown’s puppet masters all huff their own farts and believe their own bullshit to the point they launch some “winter offensive”, and promptly send a few more thousand Ukis and their cheerleaders from the Western special ops teams to their graves. Ooopsies.

Option 4: nothing much happens and Russia eventually retakes Kershon in due course. In their own way. At their own pace, and with minimal loss of Russian soldiers.

Because that’s what’s gonna happen.

One of those 4 options. And I really don’t see the down side of any of them.

So that’s what Russia is doing.

Because they have plenty of time, and like chess.

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